世茂服务(00873.HK):市拓成果亮眼 关联方减值风险降低
Ge Long Hui·2025-12-07 04:04

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing significant growth in market expansion and service diversification, leading to stable growth in basic property management services. Group 1: Market Expansion - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a record high in market expansion with an annualized contract amount from third-party bidding reaching approximately 960 million, a year-on-year increase of 54.6% [1] - The newly added contract area was 40.1 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 126.6% [1] - The average property fee for newly signed residential projects reached 2.9 yuan per square meter per month, indicating improvements in project quality and profitability [1] - 74% of new projects are located in core urban clusters such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Greater Bay Area, with 73% of projects in first and second-tier cities [1] - The proportion of high-quality clients with contracts exceeding 5 million yuan per year increased to 64.3% [1] Group 2: Service Diversification - From July to October, the company added nearly 200 new projects, including industrial parks, commercial offices, residential areas, schools, hospitals, and government logistics services, expanding service scenarios and customer value boundaries [2] - This diversification is expected to provide a solid foundation for stable growth in basic property management services [2] Group 3: Related Party Transactions - The company announced a reduction in the annual upper limit of several core related party transactions, which will help lower the risk of receivables impairment [2] - The annual upper limit for case operation services was reduced from 115 million yuan in 2025 to 24 million, 11 million, and 10 million yuan for 2026-2028 [2] - The upper limit for parking brokerage service deposits was cut from 245 million yuan in 2025 to 73 million yuan for 2026-2028 [2] - The property management service upper limit was adjusted from 169 million yuan in 2025 to 17 million, 25 million, and 21 million yuan for 2026-2028 [2] Group 4: Financial Projections - The company maintains a buy rating and adjusts the target price to 0.73 HKD, based on recent operational performance [3] - Adjustments were made to revenue growth and gross margin forecasts, with EPS projections for 2025-2026 revised to 0.02/0.06 yuan (previously 0.09/0.10 yuan) and a new forecast for 2027 set at 0.07 yuan [3] - The comparable company's PE valuation for 2026 is estimated at 11x, corresponding to the target price of 0.73 HKD (1 HKD = 0.909 RMB) [3]