为扼中国能源咽喉，特朗普押注3038亿桶石油战争，恐引爆全球系统性崩溃

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of Trump's transactional mindset in international politics, particularly regarding Venezuela's oil reserves and the potential consequences of military intervention [1][10]. Group 1: Political and Economic Context - Venezuela possesses 303.8 billion barrels of oil reserves, which are viewed as a strategic asset by Trump, who aims to control this resource to counter China's energy influence [3]. - Trump's military strategy includes deploying 11 warships and 15,000 soldiers to the Caribbean, indicating a significant commitment to this geopolitical gamble [3]. Group 2: Miscalculations and Risks - Trump's rejection of Maduro's surrender proposals, which included the opening of oil resources, reflects a desire for total control rather than cooperation, potentially overlooking the complexities of political dynamics [5]. - The financial costs of the military engagement are expected to exceed short-term profits from oil, raising questions about the sustainability of this approach [6]. - Allies like the UK and France are distancing themselves from the conflict, highlighting a growing discontent with Trump's military strategy and its legality [9]. Group 3: Global Implications - The article warns that Trump's actions could lead to a systemic collapse of the global energy network, with potential repercussions for oil prices and economic stability [11]. - The situation in Venezuela is compared to historical conflicts like Vietnam and Afghanistan, suggesting that military intervention could lead to prolonged instability [11]. Group 4: Call for a New Approach - The article advocates for a shift from transactional thinking to a more complex understanding of global interdependencies, emphasizing the need for mutual respect and cooperation [12][15]. - It suggests that future competition will hinge on the ability to adapt to globalization through systemic thinking rather than simplistic transactional approaches [13][15].