Prediction: This Stock Will Be the Biggest Quantum Computing Winner of 2026
IBMIBM(US:IBM) The Motley Fool·2025-12-07 22:05

Core Viewpoint - IBM is positioned to become a leading player in quantum computing by 2026, leveraging its advancements and financial stability in a rapidly evolving industry [2][12]. Group 1: IBM's Quantum Computing Strategy - IBM has been focusing on quantum computing since it first provided public access to a quantum computer via the cloud in 2016, and it launched its first commercially viable quantum computer, IBM Q System One, in 2019 [5]. - The company announced the IBM Quantum Nighthawk, a 120-qubit computer capable of running circuits with 30% more complexity while maintaining low error rates [5]. - IBM aims to achieve quantum advantage by the end of 2026 and plans to deliver the first fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029, addressing long-standing challenges in the quantum industry [6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first nine months of 2025, IBM reported nearly $48 billion in revenue, reflecting a 6% growth year-over-year, and a net income of nearly $5 billion, which is a 61% increase from the previous year [7][8]. - Despite the slower growth compared to start-ups, IBM's profitability and stability differentiate it from many competitors in the quantum space [7][14]. - IBM's stock has increased nearly 35% over the past year, indicating positive market sentiment [8]. Group 3: Market Position and Comparisons - IBM's market capitalization stands at $288 billion, with a P/E ratio of 36 and a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio just above 4, making it comparatively attractive against start-ups with triple-digit P/S ratios [9][10]. - In contrast to Alphabet, which has a market cap of $3.8 trillion and a P/S ratio of 10, IBM's smaller size may allow for more agile growth in the quantum computing sector [10][11]. - While IBM may not match the rapid growth potential of start-ups, its financial strength and ongoing innovation in quantum computing position it favorably for future success [12][14].