美联储降息预期升温,关注黄金基金ETF(518800)
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-08 01:28

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's expectation for interest rate cuts has significantly increased, with an 86% probability of a rate cut on December 10, 2025, according to the CME FedWatch tool [1][2] - Several Federal Reserve officials have publicly supported the idea of lowering interest rates due to recent weak employment market data [1] Group 2 - Global central banks have continued to increase their gold purchases, with a net purchase of 220 tons in Q3 2025, representing a 28% increase from Q2 and a 10% year-over-year growth [3] - The total net gold purchases by central banks for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 634 tons, although this is lower than the exceptionally high levels seen in the past three years [3] - The market is currently focused on the upcoming December FOMC meeting and the U.S. economic fundamentals, with expectations that a dovish new Fed chair could lead to more aggressive rate cuts, benefiting gold prices [3]