红杉中国杨云霞：下一代疗法风口下，坚守长期投资逻辑

Core Insights - The Chinese biopharmaceutical sector is experiencing a resurgence after a period of adjustment, with the industry overall rising by 16.72% from early 2025 to the end of November, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.68 percentage points [1] - The active business development (BD) transactions and breakthroughs in innovative drug development are key drivers behind this growth [1][2] - The focus on "second-generation technology paradigms" in biotech, such as advancements in antibody technology and CAR-T therapies, is expected to be a significant investment direction in the near future [1][2] Industry Trends - The Chinese biopharmaceutical industry is entering a new phase centered on original innovation and global competitiveness, with China projected to account for 10%-15% of new drug listings globally [4] - As of August this year, the number of external licensing agreements for 2025 has already matched the total for 2024, with a total value of $50 billion, surpassing the entire amount for 2024 [2] - The proportion of external licensing transactions from Chinese companies has exceeded 40%, with half of these involving next-generation therapies [3] Investment Opportunities - There is a significant amount of unmet clinical needs and untapped innovation space in the market, providing rich investment themes and potential for more BD cases [2] - The quality of companies and their growth potential are critical in determining their market value, regardless of temporary low valuations [2] - The collaboration between biotech firms and multinational corporations (MNCs) is increasing, with MNCs expanding their BD teams and establishing regular communication with Chinese biotech companies [3][6] Challenges and Considerations - The industry faces challenges such as the need for improved commercialization capabilities and the risk of resource wastage due to blind competition [4][5] - The pricing of Chinese biotech assets in overseas transactions is often perceived as low, which may hinder their global competitiveness [6] - The importance of establishing long-term trust and understanding international market rules is emphasized for achieving fair valuations in cross-border transactions [6][7] Strategic Insights - The essence of BD transactions lies in the synergy of capital, brand, and capability, which can significantly enhance a company's growth beyond short-term gains [6] - Companies must focus on quality improvement and differentiated innovation rather than merely competing on speed to avoid industry setbacks [4][5] - The investment strategy should consider long-term market dynamics and the potential future landscape of the industry [8]