东吴证券(香港)：首次覆盖均胜电子予“买入”评级 目标价为23港元

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities (Hong Kong) initiates coverage on Joyson Electronics (600699)(00699) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting its transition from the "Takata integration shadow" to a new phase characterized by "global safety cash cow + intelligent automotive Tier 1 + robotics second curve" [1] Group 1: Automotive Safety Business - Joyson Electronics has become one of the few suppliers capable of providing a complete passive safety system to multinational automakers, following the acquisition of KSS and Takata assets, with stable safety business revenue in the hundreds of billions [2] - The company is expected to achieve mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth in its safety business over the next three years, with steadily improving gross margins contributing to stable cash flow [2] Group 2: Intelligent Automotive Tier 1 - The automotive electronics segment focuses on smart cockpits, intelligent networking, ADAS/domain control, and new energy management systems, establishing a comprehensive product line and platform-based R&D system [3] - The company is continuously securing mid-to-high-end model projects due to its local responsiveness and global project experience, with breakthroughs in key domain control products like the Central Computing Unit (CCU) [3] Group 3: Robotics Business Development - Joyson Electronics is extending its automotive safety and electronic technology capabilities into robotics, launching integrated solutions for robotic control and collaborating with leading robotics players [4] - Although the robotics business is currently in an early investment phase, it is expected to generate meaningful revenue within 3-5 years, potentially leading to valuation premiums [4] Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 62.6 billion, 67 billion, and 71.9 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 12%, 7%, and 7% respectively, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to reach 1.6 billion, 1.8 billion, and 2 billion yuan [5] - The average valuation level for 2026 is projected at a PE of 18x, with a target market capitalization of 35.6 billion HKD and a target price of 23 HKD [5]