超千亿险资活水来了！跨年行情会来吗？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the National Financial Regulatory Administration has lowered the risk factors for insurance companies' long-term holdings in equity assets, which is expected to release more capital for investment in the stock market [1][3][11] - As of the end of the third quarter, the balance of insurance capital invested in stocks was 3.62 trillion yuan, with an estimated 40% in the CSI 300 and 5% in the CSI 100 Low Volatility Index [1][3] - The adjustment in risk factors is anticipated to improve the solvency adequacy ratio of the insurance industry by approximately 1 percentage point if no additional stock investments are made [1][3] Group 2 - The reduction in risk factors allows insurance funds to invest more in the capital market while meeting solvency requirements, positively impacting market liquidity and stability [4][11] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is also expected to relax leverage restrictions for securities firms, which may enhance capital utilization efficiency and indirectly influence the market [7][11] - The upcoming political bureau meeting may lead to positive policy changes, further supporting the potential for a cross-year market rally [10][11]