市场提前预演“最坏剧本”，多资产齐跌引恐慌，美股周一“集体跳水”

Group 1 - The market is experiencing a significant downturn, with U.S. stocks falling across the board, gold dropping below $4,200, Bitcoin briefly falling below $90,000, and U.S. crude oil prices dropping below the 50-day moving average to below $60 [1] - The recent decline is attributed to multiple factors, including a sharp drop in the Japanese bond market affecting U.S. Treasury yields, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.16%, approaching recent peaks [2] - The market is reacting to the Federal Reserve's "hawkish rate cut" expectations, where a rate cut does not imply a policy shift but rather a "technical adjustment" [2] Group 2 - Comments from potential Federal Reserve Chair nominee Hassett have negatively impacted market sentiment, as he stated that having a clear six-month rate plan is "irresponsible," leading traders to reduce their expectations for rate cuts in 2026 from three to two [2] - Hassett's remarks suggest a cautious approach from the Federal Reserve, emphasizing observation and adjustment based on data rather than committing to aggressive rate cuts [2] - In response to market concerns, former President Trump has attempted to stabilize the market by announcing progress on exporting chips to China, which provided temporary relief but is viewed as a "policy intervention" rather than a trend reversal [3]