贺博生：12.9黄金原油大幅回落最新行情走势分析及今日独家操作建议指导

Core Viewpoint - The current market conditions require a strategic approach that balances market awareness with tactical execution, emphasizing the importance of identifying clear buy and sell signals for trading success [1] Gold Market Analysis - As of December 9, the spot gold price is trading around $4,193 per ounce, experiencing a slight decline due to cautious investor sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting [2] - The market anticipates a potentially hawkish interest rate decision from the Fed, leading to a wait-and-see approach among traders [2] - The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fluctuated around 99.07, with a brief dip to 98.79 before a minor rebound, while U.S. Treasury yields are on the rise, with the 10-year yield nearing 4.180%, the highest since September 26 [2] - Despite gold's current upward trend, increasing bearish factors, including rising bond yields, are creating uncertainty for future price movements [2] - Technically, gold remains in an uptrend, but momentum is waning, with critical support levels between $4,175 and $4,200 that need to hold to avoid a shift to a bearish trend [4] - If gold breaks below this support range, the focus will shift to the $4,100 psychological level, which is also the starting point of the recent rally [4] - Resistance levels are identified between $4,220 and $4,270, where previous attempts to recover have failed [4] Oil Market Analysis - As of December 9, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is trading around $58.85 per barrel, having dropped over 2% due to the resumption of production in Iraq and ongoing attention to peace negotiations in Ukraine [5] - Brent crude oil is hovering below $64 per barrel, while WTI remains stable around $60, with increased focus on India's continued oil imports from Russia amid energy constraints [5] - The oil market is characterized by a "short-term tight, long-term loose" condition, with short-term prices influenced by geopolitical events and supply disruptions, while long-term trends are driven by global production growth [5] - Future oil prices may face downward pressure if institutional reports confirm a supply surplus, particularly after any rebounds [5] - Technically, the oil market is currently in a minor oscillation phase, with key support at $56; if this level is breached, a downward trend may ensue [6] - The short-term trading strategy suggests focusing on selling during price rebounds while considering buying on dips, with resistance levels at $60.0-$61.0 and support at $57.5-$56.5 [6]