伊万·克拉斯特耶夫：特朗普对欧洲的影响，就像戈尔巴乔夫1980年代对苏东阵营的影响

Core Viewpoint - Donald Trump's return to the White House has significantly altered the U.S. approach to its allies and adversaries, emphasizing ideological divides over traditional democratic values, and focusing on a domestic political agenda rather than promoting democracy abroad [1][2][12]. Group 1: U.S. Foreign Policy Changes - Trump's administration has shown a preference for supporting far-right parties in Europe, such as Italy's Giorgia Meloni and Germany's AfD, while undermining traditional liberal values that have historically underpinned transatlantic alliances [2][4]. - The U.S. government perceives a political shift to the right in Europe, anticipating that many European nations are merely lagging behind the U.S. by one election cycle [2][11]. - Trump's support for European far-right parties is seen as a strategic move to maintain U.S. influence in Europe while reducing military commitments [4][12]. Group 2: Impact on European Politics - The rise of far-right political forces in Central and Eastern Europe, such as Viktor Orbán in Hungary and other populist leaders, has been facilitated by Trump's policies, which may lead to a fragmented Europe rather than a unified pro-Trump bloc [5][12]. - The political landscape in Europe is increasingly polarized, with far-right parties expressing positive views of U.S. politics, contrasting with mainstream voters who hold negative opinions [11][12]. - The emergence of a new political coalition in Europe, inspired by Trump's "Make America Great Again" movement, indicates a shift towards a more nationalist and conservative agenda across the continent [2][10]. Group 3: Economic and Geopolitical Implications - Trump's policies have led to a significant realignment in European geopolitics, with countries like Hungary seeking closer ties with China and distancing themselves from U.S. influence [16][18]. - The potential for a fragmented Europe raises concerns about the long-term stability of U.S. influence, as populist leaders may not align with U.S. interests on key geopolitical issues [12][18]. - The return of nationalist sentiments in Europe could lead to a resurgence of German militarism, which poses risks for regional stability and U.S. interests [19][20].