Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-09 05:42Group 1 - The bank is optimistic about Sands China (01928) in the short term, expecting the company to announce an increase in dividends for 2026 by the end of February, along with anticipated improvements in market share and profit share for Q4 [1] - The long-term preference remains for Galaxy Entertainment (00027) due to its strong value and growth potential, with a target price of HKD 50 and a rating of "Buy" [1] - The bank advises to avoid Melco International Development (00200) and SJM Holdings (00880), assigning "Reduce" and "Neutral" ratings respectively [1] Group 2 - According to Morgan Stanley, Macau's total gaming revenue for the first seven days of December reached MOP 5.2 billion, averaging about MOP 742 million per day, which is over a 5% increase from November and more than 25% year-on-year [2] - In an optimistic scenario, if the growth continues until the end of the month, Q4 gaming revenue could increase by 18% to 19% year-on-year and 8% to 9% quarter-on-quarter, reaching a six-year high, significantly above the bank's and market's expectations of 13% to 14% [2] - The bank notes that the current industry valuation is very low, with a 2026 EV/EBITDA ratio of 9 times, below the historical average of 13 times, estimating that a 1-time expansion in valuation could increase equity value by over 15% [2]