年内第十一次下调 油价每吨再降55元

Core Viewpoint - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a reduction in domestic gasoline and diesel prices by 55 yuan per ton, marking the eleventh price cut since 2025, with the year's adjustments showing a pattern of "seven increases, eleven decreases, and six pauses" [1]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The recent price adjustment translates to a decrease of 0.04 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 0.05 yuan for 95-octane gasoline, and 0.05 yuan for 0-octane diesel, resulting in approximately 2 yuan savings for filling a 50-liter tank of 92-octane gasoline [1]. - The overall average price of crude oil during the pricing cycle has decreased compared to the previous cycle, despite initial upward trends influenced by geopolitical factors [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The demand for gasoline remains subdued due to the lack of holiday-related consumption, while diesel demand is affected by a weak economic outlook and accelerated adoption of alternative energy sources, limiting seasonal consumption boosts [2]. - Analysts predict that the next pricing cycle may see a shift to a positive change rate, but the expected fluctuations will be limited, with overall demand remaining weak and a high probability of price stabilization in the near term [2]. Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - The situation in Venezuela, which holds over 300 billion barrels of proven oil reserves, could disrupt international oil prices, especially if tensions escalate further [2]. - Current daily oil production in Venezuela stands at 1.1 million barrels, and any escalation in conflict could significantly impact global oil supply [3].