小摩:料渣打集团诉讼和解案限制股份回购上行空间 惟投资观点保持不变
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-09 07:55

Core Viewpoint - Standard Chartered's stock price fell by 2% on October 8, underperforming the Hang Seng Index by 0.8 percentage points, potentially due to allegations of violating Iran sanctions and a £1.5 billion ($2 billion) settlement with investors [1] Group 1: Financial Impact - The actual settlement amount has not been disclosed, but the company stated that the settlement would not significantly impact its operating performance or financial condition [1] - JPMorgan expects the related expenditure to be classified as a special item by Standard Chartered in Q4 2025, which may lower the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio and could limit share buyback potential in 2026 [1] - The negative impact on the CET1 capital ratio is anticipated to be less than approximately 13 basis points [1] Group 2: Investment Outlook - JPMorgan reiterated an "Overweight" rating for Standard Chartered with a target price of HKD 190 [1] - The forecast for Standard Chartered's CET1 capital ratio in Q4 2025 is 14%, with a projected share buyback of $2.5 billion in 2026 and a total return rate of 7.2%, the highest among banks in the Greater China region [1]