美国政府为农民提供120亿美元救助，能否应对其关税政策的“反噬”？

Group 1 - The U.S. government will provide a $12 billion aid package to farmers to address the negative impacts of tariff policies on agriculture [1][3] - The aid will be distributed to growers of crops such as corn, cotton, sorghum, soybeans, rice, and wheat, with payments expected to be completed by the end of February next year [3] - The initial disbursement will be $11 billion, with an additional $1 billion reserved for fruit and vegetable growers as needed [3] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the total aid amount may fall short of recent losses incurred by farmers, estimating that the $12 billion plan could cover only about one-third of their losses [7] - Estimates indicate that U.S. farmers' losses this fall could range between $35 billion and $43 billion [7] - The aid is seen as a temporary relief for cash flow pressures but does not address the structural gaps caused by shrinking export markets and rising costs [8][10] Group 3 - The aid plan is perceived to have economic and political motivations, particularly with upcoming midterm elections where the Republican Party faces challenges in agricultural states [6][9] - The government aims to stabilize rural voter support, which may be threatened by the Democratic Party [9] - The aid package primarily targets crop producers, with minimal support for consumer goods and exclusion of high-value farmers, indicating a limited scope of assistance [10] Group 4 - The imposition of tariffs has disrupted global trade, leading to decreased export markets for U.S. agricultural products, resulting in low prices for soybeans and corn, and increased costs for fertilizers and machinery [12] - The significant decline in exports has led to record-high inventories of various crops, while prices on the Chicago futures market have dropped below production costs for some farmers [15] - The government's attempt to provide one-time subsidies from tariff revenues is limited in scale and faces legal challenges, while ongoing trade negotiations lack clarity on outcomes and timelines, affecting long-term investment decisions [15]