税高到留不住人！德国企业集体出逃，经济顾问怒斥政府

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the dire state of the German economy, emphasizing the detrimental impact of government fiscal and pension policies, which threaten to exhaust public finances by 2029, leading to a potential crisis in funding for education, infrastructure, and industrial upgrades [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Challenges - Germany is facing multiple economic challenges, including production relocation, innovation stagnation, and talent outflow, which are undermining its status as Europe's economic engine [1]. - By 2029, social spending, interest payments, and defense expenditures are projected to consume all expected government revenues, forcing the government to rely on debt or tax increases to maintain operations [1]. - The looming prospect of significant tax increases has prompted many companies to consider relocating their production to regions with lower tax burdens, such as Eastern Europe and Southeast Asia [1]. Group 2: Employment and Talent Issues - The exodus of companies is expected to lead to a vicious cycle of reduced employment opportunities and sluggish economic growth, characterized by the sequence: tax increases → company departures → decreased tax revenue → further tax increases [1]. - High taxes and social security contributions are driving well-educated young talent to migrate to countries like Switzerland and the Netherlands, which offer better welfare and reasonable tax burdens [2]. Group 3: Innovation and Reform Stagnation - The article points out that innovation stagnation is a critical issue, with Germany's investment in high-tech sectors being insufficient due to past industrial successes and political hesitance [5]. - The share of R&D investment in GDP has been declining, indicating a lack of commitment to technological advancement [5]. - The current coalition government is struggling to implement necessary reforms in key areas like pensions and taxation due to internal conflicts and competing interests, hindering progress [5].