白银狂飙突破每盎司60美元创历史新高！渣打预警短期波动风险

Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have reached a historic high of over $60 per ounce, driven by trader bets on further easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve and ongoing supply tightness, with a year-to-date increase of over $31 or 108% [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Despite the strong upward trend in silver prices, short-term volatility may be expected due to normalization of traditional market dynamics [3] - The gold-silver ratio has dropped to 69, the lowest level since July 2021, indicating silver's performance has significantly outpaced that of gold [3] - The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) inventory has increased by 1,447 tons year-to-date, while the New York Mercantile Exchange (Comex) inventory has risen by 4,311 tons, with most inventory still held in London [4] Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - The recent surge in silver prices has been driven by multiple factors, including global supply chain issues, strong industrial consumption, and renewed investor interest [3] - Although supply chain issues have eased, market uncertainty remains, with a slight decrease in U.S. inventory adding liquidity to the global market [3] - The demand for silver-backed exchange-traded products (ETPs) has seen significant inflows, with 487 tons added in November and another 475 tons in December [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - While silver prices are expected to remain positive, a short-term correction may occur due to the current high gold-silver ratio, which suggests silver may be overbought [5] - The market is closely watching the S232 critical minerals report, which could exacerbate regional market tensions [5]