创历史新高!中国外贸顺差首超1万亿元,摆脱对美依赖,引领全球市场新格局
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-09 23:53

Core Insights - China's trade surplus has historically surpassed $1 trillion, reaching $1.076 trillion in the first 11 months of the year, equating to over $30 billion in daily net earnings from global trade [1][3] Trade Dynamics - The U.S. has rapidly diminished as China's largest trading partner, with trade volume between China and the U.S. declining by 16.9% year-on-year, reducing the U.S. share of China's foreign trade to 8.9%, now the third-largest partner [3] - ASEAN has become China's largest trading partner, with trade volume reaching 6.82 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.5% [3] - In November, China's exports to the U.S. plummeted by 29%, while exports to the EU grew by 14.8% and to Australia surged by 35.8% [5] Export Growth and Product Shifts - Overall exports from China increased by 6.2% year-on-year, with electromechanical products accounting for 60.9% of total exports, growing by 8.8% [6] - High-tech products, particularly integrated circuits, saw a 25.6% increase in exports, while automotive exports grew by 17.6%, with a remarkable 53% growth in November alone [7] - Traditional labor-intensive product exports fell by 3.5%, indicating a shift towards higher value-added products and a transition in China's manufacturing capabilities [9] Role of Private Enterprises - Private enterprises have played a crucial role in reshaping global trade, with their import and export volume reaching 23.52 trillion yuan, a 7.1% increase, now accounting for 57.1% of total foreign trade [9] Import Trends - Imports of bulk commodities have increased in volume but decreased in price, effectively lowering domestic input costs [11] - The import of electromechanical products rose by 7.5%, with integrated circuit imports increasing by 14.8% in volume, reflecting strong domestic production and technological upgrade demands [11] Economic Resilience - China's goods trade in the first three quarters reached 33.61 trillion yuan, a 4% year-on-year increase, marking eight consecutive quarters of growth [12] - The economic foundation remains strong, with long-term positive trends expected to continue [13] Future Outlook - Analysts predict that China's share of global goods exports could rise from approximately 15% to 16.5% by 2030, driven by strengths in electric vehicles and industrial robotics [14]