金ETF(159834)逆势上涨0.67%，道富：预计明年金价或在4000-4500美元区间震荡走高

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a comprehensive adjustment, while gold ETFs showed resilience with a 0.67% increase, reflecting a year-to-date rise of 53.68% [1] Group 1: Gold Market Performance - The Southern China Securities Gold Industry Stock Index A (021958) has achieved a remarkable year-to-date increase of 74.68% as of December 9 [1] - Spot gold prices saw a slight increase ahead of the Federal Reserve's FOMC decision, with a 0.1% rise in Asian early trading and a 0.44% increase in New York, closing at $4208.92 per ounce [1] Group 2: Future Gold Price Predictions - State Street Global Advisors predicts that gold prices will experience their best annual performance since 1979 in 2025, with a potential stabilization in 2026, forecasting prices to fluctuate between $4000 and $4500 per ounce [1] - Structural bull market factors supporting gold include the Federal Reserve's easing policies, strong demand from central banks and retail investors, inflows into ETFs, rising correlations between stocks and bonds, and global debt issues [1] Group 3: Gold ETF Insights - The gold ETF (159834) closely tracks the Shanghai Gold Exchange's spot contract prices, offering high transparency and liquidity, with net inflows in 10 out of the last 20 days [1] - The latest scale of the gold ETF reached 1.332 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of over 160% since the beginning of the year [1] - The ETF supports T+0 intraday trading, with associated funds available (A: 018391, C: 018392) [1]