招银国际:中国平安(02318)及中国人寿(02628)均为政策受益者 保险股明年前景乐观
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-10 03:29

Core Viewpoint - The recent policy adjustment by the National Financial Regulatory Administration is expected to benefit major insurance companies like China Ping An and China Life, leading to an optimistic outlook for the insurance sector in 2026 [1][2] Group 1: Policy Impact - The policy reduces the solvency risk coefficients for insurance companies investing in the CSI 300 Index, the CSI Dividend Low Volatility 100 Index, and stocks on the STAR Market by 10% [1] - If the released minimum capital is fully invested in the stock market, it could bring an incremental capital of 102.6 billion RMB to the CSI 300 market [2] - The policy aims to guide insurance funds towards long-term equity investments rather than merely enhancing the overall solvency adequacy ratio [2] Group 2: Market Projections - The average allocation of insurance funds is assumed to be 50% in the CSI 300 Index, 10% in the CSI Dividend Low Volatility Index, and 5% in the STAR Market, leading to a potential release of minimum capital of 30.8 billion RMB [2] - By the end of September, the overall solvency of the insurance industry is expected to increase slightly by 1.14 percentage points to 187.4% [2] - The policy emphasizes long-term holdings in blue-chip stocks, high-dividend stocks, and growth stocks, indicating regulatory support for insurance funds investing in these areas [2] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report maintains an "outperform" rating for the insurance sector and recommends buying shares of China Ping An, China Life, China Pacific Insurance, and AIA Group [1]