中信建投:持续受益AI驱动 PC龙头地位稳定 维持联想“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui·2025-12-10 03:44

Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group benefits from AI-driven growth, maintaining its leading position in the PC market with rapid performance improvement [1] Group Summaries Business Performance - All three business groups achieved double-digit growth in the first half of the fiscal year 25/26, with AI-related revenue accounting for 29% of total revenue, a 15 percentage point increase year-on-year, indicating AI as the core growth driver [2] - The Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) saw a 15% year-on-year revenue increase, with global PC market share rising by 1.8 percentage points to a historical high of 25.6%, maintaining the top position globally [2] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) experienced a significant 30% year-on-year revenue growth, driven by strong demand for AI servers, with proprietary liquid cooling technology achieving over 100% revenue growth in the second fiscal quarter [3] - The Solutions and Services Group (SSG) reported a 19% year-on-year revenue increase, achieving a record operating profit margin of 22%, with steady growth in support services and project solutions [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company is executing its "Hybrid AI for All" strategy, launching a complete range of AI-driven devices and experiences across consumer, commercial, and mobile sectors [2] - The AIPC segment, a focus of the AI strategy, saw its shipment volume rise to 33% of total PC shipments, maintaining a 31.1% share in the global Windows AI PC market [2] - The company is increasing strategic investments in product development and business expansion to capitalize on AI opportunities, despite a reported operating loss of $118 million in the ISG segment [3] Financial Projections - The company maintains its earnings forecast, projecting revenues of $76.911 billion, $84.379 billion, and $92.349 billion for fiscal years 2026-2028, with net profits of $1.694 billion, $1.913 billion, and $2.196 billion respectively, corresponding to current P/E ratios of 9, 8, and 7 times [4]