美联储势将连续第三次降息 然后可能暂时收手

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a third consecutive interest rate cut, but this process may come to an end due to internal divisions over persistent inflation concerns [1] Group 1: Interest Rate Cuts - The Federal Reserve has cut rates twice this fall and has reduced rates by a total of 1.5 percentage points over the past 15 months [1] - Further rate cuts will bring the Fed's benchmark rate closer to a level that stimulates economic activity, which many officials are trying to avoid [1] Group 2: Internal Divisions - There are significant divisions among Fed officials regarding the current level of interest rates, with some believing they are already at a neutral level that neither stimulates nor suppresses economic growth [1] - Analysts predict that up to three officials may hold differing opinions on the Fed's tightening stance [1] Group 3: Economic Data and Decision-Making - The lack of new economic data complicates Chairman Jerome Powell's task of reaching a consensus among officials [1] - The official labor market data for November will not be released until December 16, and inflation data will be available two days later [1] Group 4: Upcoming Announcements - The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday at 2 PM local time, along with a committee statement and updated economic forecasts [1] - Jerome Powell will hold a press conference 30 minutes after the announcement [1]