STARTRADER外汇:美加央行会议前,美元兑加元为何持稳于1.3850?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-10 05:54

Group 1 - The USD/CAD exchange rate has slightly risen to around 1.3855, with limited overall volatility as the market remains cautious ahead of the policy statements from the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve [2] - The US dollar index is hovering around 99.25, having recorded an increase in the previous trading day, supported by the rise in US job openings data for October to 7.67 million, exceeding market expectations of 7.2 million [2] - Market expectations indicate an 87.6% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50%-3.75% in December, marking the third consecutive rate cut if realized [2] Group 2 - The market widely anticipates that the Bank of Canada will keep its interest rate unchanged at 2.25%, supported by a robust labor market recovery, with 1.063 million jobs added from July to August and an additional 1.806 million from September to November [3] - The recent movements in the USD/CAD exchange rate reflect market expectations of a divergence in monetary policy, where a dovish signal from the Federal Reserve could provide short-term support for the Canadian dollar [3] - The overall market is in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the policy statements, with investors closely monitoring for signals regarding interest rate direction, inflation, and economic outlook, which are expected to set the tone for the next phase of the USD/CAD exchange rate [3]