半导体设备ETF（561980）午后探底回升涨0.61%，多重变局下自主可控产业显韧性

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a rebound, driven by legislative developments and market dynamics, indicating a potential shift towards domestic production and self-sufficiency in semiconductor equipment [1][2]. Group 1: Legislative Developments - The introduction of H.R.6207, the "Chip Equipment Quality Act," prohibits chip factories receiving U.S. subsidies from using 12 types of semiconductor equipment from China, highlighting China's rapid advancements in semiconductor equipment [1]. - This legislation is seen as a catalyst for market sentiment, reinforcing the logic of self-sufficiency in the semiconductor sector [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The recent termination of the merger between Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang has led to a pause in expected capital integration, but both parties emphasize continued collaboration in the industry [1]. - Nvidia's conditional export license for the H200 chip to China is viewed as a compromise, potentially addressing some domestic high-end AI computing needs while underscoring the necessity for an independent supply chain [1]. - The semiconductor market is witnessing price increases in memory and GPU chips, driven by demand for AI servers, with TrendForce predicting a 45-50% increase in general DRAM contract prices and a 50-55% increase for HBM in Q4 [1]. Group 3: Strategic Value of Semiconductor Equipment - The strategic value of upstream semiconductor equipment and materials is becoming more pronounced, with the semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) focusing on leading companies in the industry [2]. - The ETF tracks major players such as Zhongwei Company, Northern Huachuang, and others, with a concentration of nearly 80% in the top ten holdings, indicating a strong focus on semiconductor equipment, materials, and integrated circuit design [2]. - The long-term logic of domestic substitution supports continued industry prosperity [2].