IMF上调中国经济增速预期，称中国经济呈现显著韧性

Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects China's economy to grow by 5.0% in 2025 and 4.5% in 2026, with these forecasts being revised upward by 0.2 and 0.3 percentage points respectively compared to the October World Economic Outlook [1] - The IMF attributes the upward revision to China's effective macroeconomic stimulus measures and lower-than-expected tariffs on exports [1] - The IMF emphasizes the need for China to transition to a consumption-driven growth model, reducing reliance on exports and investment [2] Group 2 - The IMF forecasts that China's overall inflation will rise from 0% in 2025 to 0.8% in 2026, indicating a relatively low inflation rate compared to trade partners [2] - Key policy priorities identified by the IMF include implementing expansionary macroeconomic policies, reducing high household savings, and cutting unnecessary industrial policy support [2] - Structural reforms are recommended to address productivity slowdown and labor force shrinkage, which could boost GDP by approximately 2.5 percentage points by 2030 [3]