为什么美国对华政策总在变？白宫前主任：总统人设就是最大战略！

Group 1 - The core argument highlights the ongoing struggle between the US and China, with the US's "America First" approach revealing vulnerabilities, particularly under the leadership of President Trump, who is perceived as weaker against strong adversaries like China [1][3] - The article discusses how the personal image and strategic positioning of the US President significantly influence the country's foreign policy direction, indicating that the era of a personality-driven diplomatic approach is coming to an end [3][4] - The consequences of the US-China trade tensions are evident, with a notable decline in US agricultural exports and significant job losses in manufacturing, leading to the US government paying $28 billion in subsidies to the agricultural sector [4] Group 2 - The decision-making process in US foreign policy towards China is heavily influenced by the President, with other officials aligning their actions based on the President's stance, resulting in fluctuating policies [6][8] - The article contrasts the approaches of different US Presidents, noting that while Trump adopted a confrontational stance, Biden has continued this approach but with an added emphasis on democratic values, yet neither has succeeded in compelling China to yield [8][10] - The narrative emphasizes that China's resilience and strategic advancements in technology and manufacturing have rendered traditional US tactics of pressure ineffective, suggesting a need for a more cooperative approach rather than one of unilateral suppression [11][15] Group 3 - The article posits that the future of US-China relations will not be determined by individual presidential elections but rather by the ability to move beyond simplistic notions of power dynamics towards more coordinated institutional arrangements and mutual benefit [16] - It concludes that the ongoing trade wars and geopolitical frictions validate the trend of China's unstoppable development, indicating that the US must adapt its strategy to avoid marginalization and seek win-win outcomes with China [15][16]