百利好晚盘分析：市场静待决议 黄金震荡收敛

Gold Market - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a new interest rate decision on December 10, with predictions leaning towards a hawkish rate cut, although some believe the decision may be dovish due to the current employment situation in the U.S. not showing significant improvement [1] - Market focus will be on whether Fed Chair Powell can build enough consensus to minimize dissent among decision-makers [1] - The gold market is currently in a range-bound phase, with expectations that the rate decision could provide clarity and help gold break out of its current range [1] - Technical analysis shows gold fluctuating between $4,165 and $4,265, with a narrower range of $4,190 to $4,220 observed recently [1] Oil Market - International oil prices have shown weakness due to multiple factors, including rising U.S. crude oil production leading to increased inventories and reinforcing supply surplus expectations [2] - Demand is subdued as winter approaches, and economic growth in major global economies is slowing, adding uncertainty to oil demand [2] - Geopolitical tensions have eased, reducing short-term support for oil prices [2] - Short-term oil prices are likely to remain in the $56 to $62 range, with investors closely monitoring the Russia-Ukraine conflict negotiations and awaiting the Fed's rate decision [2] - Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend after breaking the upward channel, with support at $57.50 and resistance at $58.60 [2] U.S. Dollar Index - Ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision, key economic data is being closely watched, with October job vacancy data exceeding expectations, indicating a resilient labor market [3] - The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut, with a probability close to 90%, shifting focus to how the decision will shape the U.S. economic outlook post-2026 [3] - Technical analysis shows a small upward movement, with prices above the 60/120 moving averages, but confirmation of a trend reversal is still needed [3] - Support is noted at 98.95 and resistance at 99.50 [3] Nasdaq Index - The Nasdaq index showed a small upward movement, with prices fluctuating between 25,400 and 25,800 [4] - The market remains calm as it awaits the Fed's interest rate decision, with resistance at the historical high of 26,200 and support at 25,400 [4] Copper Market - The copper market experienced a downward movement, breaking below the upward trend line and operating below the 60 and 120-day moving averages, indicating a short-term bearish trend [5] - Key levels to watch include resistance at $5.32 and support at $5.15 [5] Silver Market - International silver prices have reached a historic high of $61 per ounce [6] Economic Events Preview - Key upcoming economic events include the U.S. labor cost index for Q3, the Bank of Canada's interest rate decision, EIA crude oil inventory data, and the Fed's interest rate decision and economic outlook summary [9]