美联储降息预期+中央重磅定调双buff，春季行情提前来了？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the anticipated "spring rally" in the A-share market may start earlier than usual, potentially in mid to late December 2025, due to multiple positive factors converging [1] Group 2 - Three major supportive forces are forming: global liquidity easing, with the Federal Reserve expected to announce a third interest rate cut, enhancing the attractiveness of A-shares as a valuation haven [2] - Domestic policy measures are being implemented, including a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on expanding domestic demand and optimizing supply [3] - Risk factors are decreasing as global economic policies become clearer, and domestic capital market reforms deepen, leading to enhanced market stability [4] Group 3 - The current "spring rally" is underpinned by solid industrial foundations, with significant breakthroughs in new productivity sectors such as commercial aerospace and AI, which are expected to drive market growth [5] Group 4 - Three main investment themes are identified for the upcoming rally: 1. The financial sector, particularly brokerages benefiting from increased capital leverage and active market trading [6] 2. The technology growth sector, focusing on areas with strong policy support and rapid industrial progress, such as commercial aerospace and AI infrastructure [7] 3. Cyclical core assets, selecting midstream manufacturing and recovery-related stocks benefiting from consumer demand [7] Group 5 - Key insights from major brokerages include: - Huatai Securities emphasizes the importance of cost-effectiveness in investment, focusing on aerospace and AI-related sectors [8] - Open Source Securities highlights the long-term advantages of technology and suggests focusing on military and media sectors [9] - Guoxin Securities notes that external pressures on A-shares are easing, with liquidity expectations improving [9] - Other brokerages also predict an early start to the spring rally, driven by positive short-term policies and external events [9]