Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a 25 basis point rate cut tonight, with a 90% probability of this outcome, but future outlook remains uncertain [1] - Global expectations for rate cuts have been revised downwards, with Australia, New Zealand, and Canada also adjusting their rate cut forecasts, while the European Central Bank is seen as having ended its rate cut cycle [2] - The upcoming non-farm payroll report on December 16 is anticipated to have a greater impact on the dollar than the Federal Reserve's decision, with traders pricing in significant volatility following its release [3] Group 2 - There are internal divisions within the Federal Reserve regarding the rate cut, with some members likely to advocate for further cuts while others may adopt a cautious stance, potentially leading to dissenting votes based on inflation concerns [6] - The Federal Reserve may announce adjustments to its quantitative easing plan, which could include purchasing short-term government bonds to manage bank reserves and alleviate recent liquidity concerns in the financial system [9] - Market reactions are expected, with stock index futures showing mixed results and potential for significant volatility post-meeting, while the dollar is experiencing weakness against other currencies [10]
IC Markets官网:美联储政策前瞻,降息之后会怎样?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-10 10:08