白银狂飙破61美元/盎司创历史新高，“黑马”后市行情几何

Group 1 - The silver market is experiencing a significant surge, with London silver prices breaking the $60 per ounce mark for the first time, reaching a historical high of $61.607 per ounce on December 10 [1][3] - In contrast, gold and other precious metals are showing a divergent trend, with London gold prices fluctuating between $4191.205 and $4218.78 per ounce, and palladium and platinum also facing downward pressure [3][4] - Silver has outperformed gold significantly this year, with a year-to-date increase of over 111%, compared to gold's 59.81% rise, making silver the "winner" in the precious metals market [3][5] Group 2 - The surge in silver prices is attributed to multiple factors, including expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which is seen as a core driver for precious metal prices [4][6] - The structural transformation in the renewable energy sector is driving industrial demand for silver, particularly in photovoltaic applications, contributing to the price increase [4][5] - Global silver supply has been in a structural deficit for five consecutive years, with a projected shortfall of 148.9 million ounces in 2024, supporting the upward price trend [5][6] Group 3 - The market consensus anticipates a 87.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, which is influencing the precious metals market dynamics [3][4] - Following the anticipated rate cut, gold may experience a period of consolidation, while platinum and palladium could face further declines due to market saturation and demand pressures [6]