东吴证券:2026年确定性看设备出海+AI拉动 结构机会看内需改善与新技术
SCSSCS(SH:601555) 智通财经网·2025-12-10 12:37

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates that the engineering machinery export sector is expected to continue its growth due to a potential upturn in overseas demand in 2026, coinciding with a Federal Reserve interest rate cut cycle, leading to a domestic and international resonance effect [1][2]. Group 1: Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is projected to see a full domestic recovery and moderate export recovery by 2025, with an emphasis on improving profit quality [2]. - Key recommendations for engineering machinery companies include SANY Heavy Industry (600031.SH), XCMG (000425.SZ), Zoomlion (000157.SZ), LiuGong (000528.SZ), and Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH) due to their high export profit contributions [2]. Group 2: Industrial Forklifts - The forklift industry is expected to maintain its growth in 2025, driven by domestic renewal demand and automation transformation [2]. - Recommended companies in the forklift sector include Hangcha Group (603298.SH), Zhongli Group (603194.SH), and Anhui Heli (600761.SH) focusing on smart forklifts and automated logistics solutions [2]. Group 3: Oilfield Equipment - The oilfield equipment sector is entering a historic opportunity with a focus on the Middle East, where Chinese investments are concentrated in the energy sector [3]. - Recommended companies in this sector include Jereh Group (002353.SZ) and Neway Valve (603699.SH) due to their low valuations and high growth potential [3]. Group 4: Domestic Demand Improvement - The report anticipates an improvement in domestic demand, particularly in the FA, injection molding, testing, and machine tool industries [4]. - Key recommendations include Maiwei (300751.SZ), Jingcheng Machinery (300316.SZ), Aotewi (688516.SH), and Gaomei (688556.SH) in the photovoltaic equipment sector [4]. Group 5: High-Growth Sectors - The AI-driven sectors such as PCB equipment, liquid cooling industry, and gas turbines are expected to experience significant growth [5]. - Recommended companies in the liquid cooling sector include Hongsheng (603090.SH) and Yinvike (002837.SZ) [5]. - In the PCB equipment sector, key recommendations include Dazhu CNC (301200.SH) and Dingtaike (301377.SH) [5]. - For gas turbines, recommended companies include Jereh Group (002353.SZ) and Yingliu (603308.SH) [5]. Group 6: New Technologies - The mass production of humanoid robots is anticipated, with domestic component manufacturers expected to benefit significantly [6][7]. - Key companies to watch in the humanoid robot sector include Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH), New Coordinates (603040.SH), and Green Harmonic (688017.SH) [7].