年末冲刺！北京新房供应“踩油门”，3000套+57万㎡集中入市，买房人机会来了？

Core Viewpoint - The Beijing real estate market is experiencing an unprecedented surge in supply as the year-end approaches, with developers accelerating their performance to meet annual targets [2][11]. Supply Surge - Since November, Beijing has issued 12 pre-sale permits for over 3,000 new residential units [2]. - By December 2025, the expected new supply area for Beijing's commercial residential properties is projected to reach 570,000 square meters, representing a month-on-month increase of 399% and a year-on-year increase of 224% [2]. Regional Distribution - The Haidian and Shunyi districts have seen the addition of over 1,100 new units since November, with other districts like Shijingshan, Chaoyang, Tongzhou, and Changping also contributing to the supply [4]. Structural Upgrade - The current supply wave is characterized not only by quantity but also by quality, with nearly 60-65% of new projects being improvement-type units (over 100 square meters) [5]. - The market is showing a balance between demand for basic and improvement-type products, with each accounting for about 40%, while high-end products make up 20% [5]. Price Trends - Despite the significant increase in supply, new residential prices in Beijing rose by 1.41% year-on-year in November, indicating a stable price environment [8]. - The average transaction price for new homes in November was 58,360 yuan per square meter, reflecting a slight month-on-month decrease of 2.94% but a year-on-year increase of 5.26% [9]. Market Outlook - The combination of increased supply and promotional discounts is expected to lead to a "tail-end" surge in new home transactions in December, with a projected month-on-month increase of 26% [11]. - However, this surge is viewed as a cyclical behavior rather than a trend reversal, as developers are responding to weak demand and sales pressure throughout the year [12]. Buyer Recommendations - For self-use buyers, the current market presents one of the best opportunities in recent years, with more choices and greater negotiation space [13]. - Improvement-type projects in districts like Haidian, Chaoyang, and Shijingshan are particularly recommended due to their strong product quality and potential for value appreciation [13].