Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that a century belonging to China may be emerging, highlighting the clear trajectory of the US-China rivalry and warning that the US risks missing its last opportunity to compete with China, potentially leading to a decline similar to Detroit's [1][3]. Group 1: US-China Rivalry - The US has employed various strategies against China, including tariffs, chip restrictions, and financial sanctions, indicating a comprehensive blockade rather than ordinary competition [3][5]. - The underlying logic of this rivalry extends beyond trade tariffs and sanctions, focusing on the US's "invisible tax" on global supply chains [5][7]. Group 2: China's Industrial Growth - China's manufacturing output reached 35% of the global total in 2023, surpassing the combined output of the G7 countries, driven by an extreme level of supply chain collaboration [13][33]. - The US's imports from China decreased by 8.7% in the first three quarters, but this led to a 12% increase in domestic production costs, illustrating the economic interdependence that complicates the notion of complete decoupling [13][33]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages - China possesses a complete industrial system with capabilities across all categories, allowing for a self-sufficient production loop from basic goods to advanced technologies [21][20]. - The cost of electricity in China is significantly lower than in the US and Europe, with an average price of 0.5 yuan per kilowatt-hour compared to 1.25 yuan and 2.48 yuan respectively, creating a substantial competitive edge [23][25]. Group 4: Future Projections - By 2030, China's manufacturing share of the global market is expected to reach 40%, while the combined share of the US, Japan, and Germany will be less than half of China's [33]. - The article emphasizes that external pressures cannot hinder China's inherent growth potential, given its complete industrial chain, low energy costs, and vast consumer market [33].
俄罗斯、日本、印度都不够格!为何唯有中国, 让美国真正坐立不安?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-10 12:46