贸易顺差超7万亿,美国关税完全失灵,美媒罕见承认,输得很惨
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-10 14:12

Core Insights - The article highlights that despite the U.S. imposing tariffs on Chinese goods, the expected negative impact on China's manufacturing sector has not materialized, leading to a significant trade surplus for China in 2025 [1][3][5]. Trade Performance - As of November 2025, China's trade surplus exceeded $1 trillion, approximately 7.2 trillion yuan, and could reach $2 trillion when excluding energy and food imports, which is equivalent to Russia's annual national income [3][5]. - The U.S. efforts to weaken China's economy and supply chains have been largely ineffective, as evidenced by China's record trade surplus and manufacturing output [3][5]. Manufacturing Sector Growth - China's manufacturing sector has shown robust growth, with record production levels in automobiles and chemicals, indicating a comprehensive expansion beyond low-end products to high-tech and high-value goods [8][10]. - The shift in China's export structure from low-end goods to electric vehicles, lithium batteries, and advanced chemical materials is particularly alarming for the U.S. [8][10]. Supply Chain Dynamics - The U.S. strategy of "friend-shoring" has inadvertently resulted in increased costs while still relying on Chinese components, demonstrating that the core profits remain within China [10][12]. - China's manufacturing output increased by 7%, showcasing its unparalleled industrial capacity and resilience [10][12]. Long-term Implications - The article suggests that the U.S. is struggling to establish a competitive industrial policy due to its political instability and short-term focus, which hampers long-term investments necessary for rebuilding its manufacturing base [14][15]. - The $1 trillion trade surplus serves as a lesson for the U.S., illustrating that in the era of economic globalization, control over manufacturing equates to survival and competitive advantage [17].