Core Viewpoint - The wholesale price of Feitian Moutai has dropped to 1520 yuan per bottle, a 43% decrease over two years, signaling the end of the "easy profit" era for distributors as they face new market challenges [1][2][10]. Price Trends - The wholesale price of Feitian Moutai was as high as 2678 yuan per bottle in December 2023 but has since fallen to approximately 1520 yuan per bottle, reflecting a significant decline [2][4]. - The price drop has led to speculation about whether Moutai will fall below the official guidance price of 1499 yuan per bottle, although many industry insiders believe this is unlikely in the short term [14][15]. Distributor Challenges - Distributors are now facing pressure as the previous "easy profit" model has collapsed, with many realizing that their role as mere "transporters" of Moutai is no longer viable [10][11]. - The current average comprehensive cost line for distributors is around 1700 yuan per bottle, while the selling price is approximately 1650 yuan, resulting in a loss of 50 yuan per bottle sold [9]. Market Dynamics - The market has shifted from a high-demand environment to one characterized by excess supply and declining prices, leading to a more competitive landscape [10][15]. - Distributors are adapting by embracing e-commerce and creating engaging marketing strategies to connect with consumers, such as hosting tasting events and utilizing live streaming for sales [11][12]. Future Outlook - Despite current challenges, there is a belief in the long-term potential of Moutai, as demand remains strong and the brand continues to expand its presence in international markets [15]. - The industry is expected to undergo a transformation where distributors will need to evolve from traditional sales roles to providing lifestyle experiences and emotional value to consumers [11][15].
最新1520元,飞天茅台批价两年跌了43%