21现场｜IMF上调中国经济增速预期，称中国经济呈现显著韧性

Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects China's economy to grow by 5.0% in 2025 and 4.5% in 2026, with upward adjustments of 0.2 and 0.3 percentage points respectively compared to the October World Economic Outlook [2] - The IMF attributes the improved growth forecast to China's commendable macroeconomic stimulus measures and lower-than-expected tariffs on exports [2][3] - Key policy priorities identified by the IMF include transitioning to a consumption-driven growth model, reducing reliance on exports and investment, and implementing more robust expansionary macroeconomic policies [3][4] Group 2 - The IMF forecasts that China's overall inflation will rise from 0% in 2025 to 0.8% in 2026, remaining lower than that of trade partners [3] - The current account surplus is expected to reach 3.3% of GDP in 2025 [3] - Structural reforms are recommended to address productivity slowdown and labor force shrinkage, with priorities including opening up the service sector and improving competition among enterprises [4]