上海11月二手房成交创7个月新高！房东“锁盘”引关注，核心区与刚需盘分化明显

Core Insights - The Shanghai second-hand housing market experienced a significant increase in transaction volume in November 2025, reaching 22,943 units, the highest since May of the same year, with a growth rate of approximately 24% compared to October [3][5] - The "Six Policies" implemented in August have positively impacted the market, leading to a structural shift where demand for lower-priced properties is driving transactions, while higher-end properties face more pressure [5][9] - There is a notable trend of landlords withdrawing listings, with reports suggesting a withdrawal rate of 15.3%, although this figure has been disputed by industry experts [3][7] Market Dynamics - The transaction volume in November ranked third in the past year, only behind the peak periods of March and April, indicating a "small tail" market trend [5] - The market is characterized by a clear division between core areas, which are seeing price stability and increased demand, and suburban areas, which are under more price pressure [6][9] - The average price of second-hand homes in Shanghai decreased by 1.24% month-on-month and 5.56% year-on-year, with the average price recorded at 56,708 yuan per square meter [6][9] Supply and Demand Trends - The supply of second-hand homes is decreasing, with a 2.6% drop in listings in November, particularly in core areas where the withdrawal of quality listings is more pronounced [8] - Landlords are increasingly reluctant to sell at lower prices, leading to a rise in rental listings as they opt to convert properties from sale to rental [8][9] - The proportion of transactions for properties priced below 3 million yuan reached 60%, highlighting the dominance of demand from first-time buyers [6][9] Future Outlook - Predictions for December suggest continued high transaction volumes, potentially reaching annual peaks, supported by the ongoing effects of the "Six Policies" and the traditional year-end market activity [9] - The market is expected to maintain a trend of price differentiation, with the "price-for-volume" strategy continuing to dominate [10] - Long-term forecasts indicate resilience in the second-hand housing market in first-tier cities, driven by the recognition of quality assets and adjusted price levels [10]