大跌非末日，恐慌造机遇

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index fell below 3900 points, closing at 3873.32, with a decline of 0.70%, while the Shenzhen and ChiNext markets experienced even greater losses [1] - Over 4300 stocks in the market declined, indicating widespread bearish sentiment [1] Reasons for the Decline - The market reacted negatively to the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut, as many investors had already priced in this "good news," leading to profit-taking [1] - Institutional investors exhibited "fear of heights" and "risk aversion," resulting in significant selling pressure, particularly in previously high-performing sectors like AI and computing [1] - Geopolitical risks, exemplified by rumors surrounding ZTE's investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice, triggered panic selling among technology stocks [1] - A "siphoning effect" was observed, where funds shifted from the broader market to specific stocks, creating localized surges despite overall market declines [1] Future Market Outlook - In the coming week, the market is expected to oscillate between 3800 and 3900 points, with investor sentiment still recovering from recent disappointments [1] - By mid-December, a potential rebound may occur due to policy support and the conclusion of institutional year-end accounting, leading to a "spring rally" [1] - Looking ahead to 2026, the market is anticipated to transition into a structural bull market, focusing on sectors like AI, commercial aerospace, and high-end manufacturing [1] Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to avoid panic selling during market downturns and to hold onto fundamentally strong stocks [1] - A cautious approach to building positions is recommended, utilizing a pyramid-style accumulation strategy rather than aggressive full-position bets [1] - Monitoring "contrarian indicators" is crucial, as low trading volumes may signal a market bottom [1]