Ultima Markets黄金预测：4250美元对黄金/美元买家来说仍然是一个难以攻克的关口

Core Insights - Gold continues to rise and tests the psychological level of $4250 following a less hawkish than expected decision from the Federal Reserve [1][2] - The market is now focused on upcoming non-farm payroll data as the dollar struggles amid falling U.S. Treasury yields [1][4] - Technical indicators remain bullish for gold, with the price needing to maintain above $4250 to sustain the upward trend [1][7] Group 1 - Gold's price action reflects a continuation of the bullish momentum after the Fed's decision to lower interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.5%-3.75% [2][3] - The market is pricing in two additional rate cuts next year, with the Fed's median forecast indicating a quarter-point reduction, providing further support for gold [3] - Concerns over a slowing labor market have bolstered gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, shifting market focus to U.S. employment data [4] Group 2 - Technical analysis shows gold trading at $4225.19, with all key moving averages (21-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day SMA) in a bullish arrangement, indicating strong buyer control [7] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 61.83, nearing overbought territory, while key retracement levels indicate potential resistance at $4275.16 [7] - Initial support is provided by the 21-day SMA at $4157.88, with deeper pullback support at the 50-day SMA at $4105.76 [7]