日大使拒不撤回言论；中方祭出69%关税，日本还能挺住？

Group 1 - The recent political discourse in Japan has been ignited by former ambassador to China, Shiraishi Hideo, defending remarks made by politician Takashi Saito regarding Taiwan, emphasizing that Taiwan is a red line for China and suggesting that such statements could be used as negotiation leverage [1] - The controversy centers around the notion that sovereignty issues cannot be treated as bargaining chips, highlighting the risks of using non-negotiable principles for political gain [1] - The U.S. responded swiftly by withdrawing the "Typhoon" missile system from Japan and adopting a cold stance towards Saito's comments, indicating a misjudgment of Japan's reliance on major powers [1] Group 2 - China's countermeasures have been precise and orderly, with the Ministry of Commerce conducting a final review on the anti-dumping duties on polyphenylene sulfide (PPS) from Japan, deciding to maintain increased tariffs, which range from 25.2% to 69.1% for Japan, while the U.S. rate can reach up to 220% [1] - PPS is a critical material for industries such as aerospace, electronics, and automotive, and the imposition of tariffs directly impacts production costs and safety [1] - The market perceives these actions as just the beginning, with China's "toolbox" for economic measures becoming more sophisticated and comprehensive [1] Group 3 - Japan currently faces two potential paths: to either halt its aggressive stance and return to dialogue and cooperation, relying on economic ties, or to continue testing China's limits, preparing for more severe retaliatory measures across various sectors [4] - The political climate in Japan is characterized by media sensationalism and politicians seeking attention, which may lead to irrational decisions given the aging economy and restructuring of the manufacturing sector [4] - China's position remains clear: red lines are non-negotiable, and retaliatory measures will follow established protocols, with anti-dumping duties serving as a clear boundary that, if crossed, will have direct consequences on materials, production lines, and jobs [4]