鲍威尔金口一开,黄金瞬间爆发!金价大涨20美元 如何交易?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-11 10:46

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, and Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish remarks led to a significant increase in spot gold prices [1][3][7]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to reduce the federal funds rate target range to 3.50%-3.75%, with three officials dissenting [5]. - The FOMC's statement highlighted downward risks to employment and persistent inflation pressures, indicating high uncertainty regarding the economic outlook [5]. - The "dot plot" from the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) suggests that most members anticipate the federal funds rate to be around 3.4% next year, implying a potential further rate cut of 25 basis points [5]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Spot gold closed up by $20.20 at $4228.47 per ounce following the Fed's decision and Powell's comments [2]. - The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell by 0.6% to 98.65, marking the largest single-day decline since September 16, which positively impacted gold prices [4]. - U.S. Treasury yields also dropped significantly, with the 10-year benchmark yield falling by 3.5 basis points to 4.155%, supporting gold's upward movement [4]. Group 3: Analyst Insights - Analysts noted that gold traders reacted positively to the Fed's outcome, with gold reaching its highest price of the day after a period of profit-taking [4]. - Technical analysis indicates that gold's upward trend may continue, with potential targets of $4300 per ounce and historical highs of $4381 per ounce if it breaks through [8]. - If gold prices fall below $4200 per ounce, the next support levels are identified at approximately $4153 (20-day SMA) and $4090 (50-day SMA) [10].