美债“掉链子”,A股“接棒”,人民币资产重估的历史性窗口
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-11 13:05

Group 1 - The A-share market has experienced significant growth, with the ChiNext Index rising by 47% and the Sci-Tech 50 Index increasing by 43% by the end of September [1][2] - The current market rally is attributed to issues within the US dollar system, leading to a revaluation of RMB assets [3][10] - The US debt situation has deteriorated, with the debt-to-GDP ratio reaching 120.8% and external debt nearing 90% of GDP, raising concerns about the safety of US Treasury bonds [8][10] Group 2 - The Chinese economy is showing resilience, with advancements in AI and innovative pharmaceuticals, where self-developed drugs have increased from 4% to 42% of the pipeline [12][14] - Recent US-China trade negotiations have yielded unexpected results, including tariff reductions on certain tech products and new agreements on agricultural purchases, indicating a mutual understanding of the costs of trade conflicts [17][19] - The rise in rare earth prices reflects China's strengthened position in strategic resource pricing, positively impacting related industries and the stock market [20][22] Group 3 - The shift in asset pricing dynamics is evident, with the Chinese bond market becoming a new benchmark, as the risk premium for the Hang Seng Index has increased from 4% to 7% when calculated against Chinese bonds [24] - Global investment patterns are changing, with long-term funds beginning to allocate more towards RMB assets, moving away from the previously imbalanced allocation favoring US assets [24][26] - The current market conditions represent a historic opportunity for asset value reconfiguration, as the RMB assets are being liberated from the constraints of the US dollar system [29][31]

美债“掉链子”,A股“接棒”,人民币资产重估的历史性窗口 - Reportify