哥伦比亚银行上调2026年哥经济增长预期
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan·2025-12-11 17:20

Group 1 - Bancolombia has raised its GDP growth forecast for Colombia, expecting a growth rate of 3.2% in 2026, which exceeds the projected growth rate of 2.9% for 2025 and is slightly above the country's potential growth rate [1] - The main driver of economic growth will be a recovery in consumption, supported by a resilient labor market and stable growth in remittances from abroad [1] - The entertainment, culture, and leisure sectors are expected to be the primary growth engines, with an anticipated growth rate of 8.8% in 2026, driven by experiential consumption related to major events like the World Cup [1] Group 2 - The commercial sector, which accounts for 17% of GDP, is projected to grow by approximately 6%, along with continued growth in transportation, accommodation, and food services [1] - Agriculture is expected to experience a slight slowdown after recent high performance, while industrial growth is forecasted at 1.8% [1] - The construction sector is anticipated to recover moderately to 1.3% in 2026, whereas the mining sector is expected to continue its decline, with a projected decrease of 3.4% [1] Group 3 - Fixed asset investment is expected to gradually improve, particularly in the industrial and construction sectors [1]