Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-12 01:23Group 1: Core Investment Strategies - The report recommends focusing on dividend strategies with companies like China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), expecting Brent oil prices to stabilize between $60-70 per barrel in 2026 [2] - CNOOC is committed to increasing reserves and production while reducing costs, promising a dividend payout ratio of no less than 45% from 2025 to 2027 [2] - CNPC is expected to benefit from the domestic natural gas market reform, while Sinopec is monitoring the progress of domestic refining and chemical industry competition [2] Group 2: Chemical Sector Investment - The report suggests investing in undervalued chemical leaders such as Wanhua Chemical, Baofeng Energy, Satellite Chemical, and Hualu Hengsheng, as they are expected to benefit from industry barriers related to cost, technology, and market [2] - The chemical sector is anticipated to see a bottoming out of performance due to market influx of funds, including quantitative investments prioritizing chemical ETFs [2] Group 3: Demand-Driven Price Increases - Traditional demand areas include food additives, pesticides, and fertilizers, with stable growth expected in vitamin and methionine demand, focusing on companies like New Hope Liuhe and Adisseo [3] - The pesticide market is expected to see price increases due to overseas demand and limited domestic supply, with companies like Yangnong Chemical and Jiangshan Chemical being highlighted [3] - In fertilizers, potassium supply and demand are expected to remain tight, supporting price increases, with a focus on companies like Asia Potash International and Dongfang Iron Tower [3] Group 4: Emerging Demand in Phosphate and Fluorine Chemicals - The phosphate chemical sector is expected to benefit from increased demand for lithium iron phosphate and hexafluorophosphate lithium driven by the new energy battery and energy storage sectors, with companies like Chuanheng Chemical and Xingfa Group being monitored [3] - The fluorine chemical sector is seeing increased demand for liquid cooling driven by AI applications, with attention on companies like Juhua Co., Sanmei Chemical, and Yonghe Chemical [3] Group 5: Domestic Price Increases Driven by Competition - In the large refining sector, domestic PTA and filament industries are experiencing competition, with companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical being of interest [3] - The organic silicon sector is nearing the end of its expansion cycle, with major domestic companies reducing operational rates, focusing on companies like Sinan Chemical and Dongyue Silicon Material [3] - The soda ash industry is facing regulatory controls on existing and new capacities, with older capacities under assessment for elimination, highlighting companies like Boyuan Chemical [3]