Broadcom(US:AVGO) MINT·2025-12-12 01:06Core Insights - Broadcom's stock declined 4% after market hours on December 11 due to concerns over AI product order backlog, narrowing profit margins, and lack of revenue forecast for 2026 [1][2][5] Group 1: AI Product Order Backlog - Broadcom has a minimum of $73 billion in AI product orders in backlog, expected to be shipped over the next six quarters, but the timeline disappointed some investors [3] - The company anticipates more orders will come in, with lead times ranging from six months to a year depending on the product [3] Group 2: Profit Margins and Revenue Forecast - Broadcom's profit margins are expected to narrow due to AI product sales, with a significant $11 billion order from Anthropic in Q4 [4][6] - The company did not provide a revenue forecast for 2026, which caused investor disappointment, as CEO Hock Tan described it as a "moving target" [5] Group 3: Earnings Performance - Despite the stock decline, Broadcom's Q4 earnings report showed sales of approximately $18 billion, exceeding analysts' estimates of $17.5 billion, with earnings of $1.95 per share compared to the expected $1.87 [11] - The company also announced a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend to 65 cents per share [5] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Broadcom is competing with Nvidia for market share in AI chips, with AI semiconductor revenue projected to double to $8.2 billion in the first quarter compared to the previous year [7] - The company has secured significant orders, including an $11 billion deal with Anthropic and a $10 billion deal in the previous quarter, indicating strong demand for its custom chips [6][12] Group 5: Strategic Partnerships - Broadcom has established partnerships with major AI model providers, including OpenAI, which will utilize Broadcom's custom chips and networking components for its AI services [11][12] - These collaborations are expected to enhance Broadcom's revenue from its custom chip unit and provide deeper access to the growing AI market [12]