会议定调“两新”优化，2026年国补延续预期升温，消费电子ETF（561600）稳步走强

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 has outlined the optimization of the "large-scale equipment update and consumer goods replacement" policy for 2026, with a focus on extending and optimizing the "national subsidy" policy closely related to consumer electronics [1] Group 1: Policy Impact - The national subsidy policy has shown significant effectiveness, with over 2.5 trillion yuan in sales driven by the replacement program under the support of 300 billion yuan in long-term special bonds in 2025 [1] - The continuation of the national subsidy is expected to further stimulate terminal demand, alongside product upgrade cycles driven by AI technology penetration in the consumer electronics sector [1] Group 2: Market Performance - As of December 12, 2025, the CSI Consumer Electronics Theme Index (931494) rose by 1.50%, with notable increases in component stocks such as Dongshan Precision (6.51%), Beijing Junzheng (5.89%), and Chipone (5.75%) [1] - The Consumer Electronics ETF (561600) also saw a rise of 1.36%, with a latest price of 1.19 yuan, and a trading volume of 969.20 million yuan [1] Group 3: ETF Growth - The Consumer Electronics ETF experienced a significant growth of 32.59 million yuan in scale over the past month [2] - The CSI Consumer Electronics Theme Index includes 50 listed companies involved in component production and consumer electronics design, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 56.39% of the total index weight, indicating a concentrated market structure [2]