易起唠嗑-美联储降息对港股的影响有哪些？

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut, bringing the target range for the federal funds rate down to 3.50%-3.75%, marking the third rate cut of the year and a total reduction of 75 basis points in 2025 [1] Group 1: Impact on Global Markets - The Fed's rate cut is reshaping global asset pricing, leading to a rally in U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 achieving a seven-month winning streak [4] - Precious metals, including gold, have seen significant price increases following the rate cuts [5] Group 2: Effects on Hong Kong Stock Market - Liquidity is improving as the Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) has dropped from 5.5% to below 4%, reducing marginal funding costs by 150 basis points, which may enhance market risk appetite and increase trading volume [8] - The weakening of the U.S. dollar is expected to attract foreign capital back to Hong Kong, alleviating currency conversion losses for Chinese companies and reducing capital outflow pressures [8] - The decline in the dollar is likely to boost the offshore RMB, easing the debt repayment pressures for mainland property firms and improving foreign sentiment towards RMB assets, potentially increasing daily trading volumes in the Hong Kong market [8] Group 3: Capital Flows and Investment Trends - The Fed's rate cut is anticipated to accelerate capital inflows into emerging markets, with an average inflow of 1.2%-1.8% of GDP expected within six months post-rate cut [9] - As the largest emerging market economy, China is likely to attract more international capital, with Hong Kong serving as a key channel for foreign investment in Chinese assets [9] - The unique positioning of the Hong Kong market as an offshore market linked to Chinese assets may provide it with higher elasticity compared to A-shares and most emerging markets, benefiting from favorable conditions in interest rates, exchange rates, credit, and risk premiums [9]