“若俄乌冲突持续 可能引发三战”！特朗普最新发声：只有泽连斯基不喜欢和平计划

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing negotiations between the U.S., Ukraine, and Russia regarding the conflict are complex, with significant disagreements on territorial issues and military withdrawals, raising concerns about the potential for escalation into a larger conflict [1][2][3][5]. Group 1: U.S. and Ukraine Negotiations - President Trump indicated that the U.S. was close to an agreement with Russia and Ukraine, but emphasized the complexity of the territorial division involved [1]. - Ukrainian President Zelensky confirmed that he submitted a revised agreement to the U.S., which still demands significant territorial concessions from Ukraine [2]. - Zelensky highlighted two main points of contention: the territorial issues in the Donetsk region and the co-management of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant [3]. Group 2: Territorial and Military Issues - Zelensky expressed that any proposed "free economic zone" or "demilitarized zone" must involve mutual military withdrawals from both sides, not just Ukraine [4]. - Discussions included the potential withdrawal of Russian forces from various regions and the freezing of contact lines between Ukrainian and Russian troops [4]. - The Ukrainian military is expected to maintain a force of 800,000, which has been agreed upon by both Ukrainian and U.S. military officials [4]. Group 3: Russian Position and European Concerns - Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated that Ukraine must remain neutral, non-aligned, and denuclearized as a starting point for resolving the conflict [5]. - European leaders, including those from Germany and France, have expressed caution regarding U.S. proposals, emphasizing that territorial concessions should be determined by Ukraine and its people [5][6]. - There are ongoing discussions among European leaders to support Ukraine in negotiations while addressing differences with the U.S. on handling Russian assets and security guarantees for Ukraine [6]. Group 4: Military Developments - Russian military claims to have fully controlled the city of Siversk and surrounding areas, which Ukraine denies, asserting that these areas remain under Ukrainian control [7][9]. - Ukrainian forces reported significant military engagements, with numerous air targets tracked and intercepted, indicating ongoing active conflict [9].