全球目光再度转向中国：多家机构同步上调增速预测

Group 1 - International institutions such as the World Bank, IMF, and ADB have raised their growth forecasts for China's economy for next year, with the World Bank increasing by 0.4 percentage points, IMF by 0.2 percentage points, and ADB by 0.1 percentage points, indicating a consensus in their updated judgment logic [1][3] - China's economic resilience has proven stronger than many anticipated at the beginning of the year, supported by sustained fiscal efforts and loose monetary policy, which have kept consumption and investment active under pressure [3] - The diversification of export markets has provided more stable support for external demand, prompting international institutions to reassess their growth expectations for the coming year [3] Group 2 - The World Bank's chief economist for China, Melissa, believes that China's long-term growth potential remains considerable, with key factors being technological innovation and productivity improvement, suggesting that the potential growth rate is not declining as rapidly as feared [3] - IMF President Georgieva emphasized the importance of domestic demand, noting that China is enhancing consumption stability through targeted policy measures such as improving the social security system and providing childcare subsidies, which will positively impact mid-term growth quality [3] - The expectation of improved certainty in the operating environment is seen as beneficial for both consumer spending and corporate investment, which will support the financial sector, small and medium enterprises, and asset allocation needs [3][4]