AbbVie Slipped Below 50-Day SMA Last Week: How to Play the Stock

Core Insights - AbbVie's stock has recently slipped below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating recent selling pressure, despite a recovery after a post-earnings dip [1][2][8] - The company has successfully launched new drugs, Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which are expected to drive revenue growth in the coming years, offsetting declines from Humira and the Aesthetics unit [5][7][29] Financial Performance - AbbVie reported combined sales of Skyrizi and Rinvoq at $18.5 billion for the first nine months of 2025, with expectations to exceed $25 billion in 2025 and $31 billion by 2027 [6][7] - The oncology segment generated revenues of $5.0 billion in the first nine months of 2025, a 2.7% year-over-year increase, driven by new drug sales [10] - Neuroscience drug sales increased by 20.3% to nearly $7.8 billion in the same period, supported by products like Botox Therapeutic and Vraylar [11] Market Challenges - Humira's sales have declined over 50% in the first nine months of 2025 due to biosimilar erosion, significantly impacting overall revenue [15] - The Aesthetics segment has seen a 7.4% decline in global sales, with Juvederm and Botox Cosmetics sales falling by 16.7% and 7.4%, respectively [16][17] Strategic Initiatives - AbbVie has been actively pursuing acquisitions to enhance its early-stage pipeline, completing over 30 M&A transactions since early 2024 [14] - The company recently settled patent litigation for Rinvoq, extending its patent exclusivity to 2037, which is expected to bolster its revenue stream [9] Future Outlook - AbbVie anticipates returning to mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2025, driven by strong performances from Skyrizi and Rinvoq, with a high single-digit CAGR projected through 2029 [29] - The company has increased its quarterly cash dividend by 5.5%, reflecting confidence in future growth despite recent estimate declines [30]