Coinbase Sentiment Hits Rock Bottom as Bitcoin Correlation Crushes Options Traders

Core Insights - Coinbase shares closed at $275.09 on December 10, with a negative retail investor sentiment score of 17.2 out of 100, categorizing it as "very bearish" [1] - Bitcoin's decline of 17.8% from its November peak of $107,482 to around $90,000 has led to a 36% drop in Coinbase's stock from its late October high of $343.78 [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Options traders are experiencing significant losses, with one trader reporting a drop of over 50% from their all-time high portfolio value, attributing this to Coinbase's high exposure to Bitcoin [2] - Despite Coinbase beating Q3 earnings estimates by 27%, delivering $1.50 per share versus the expected $1.18, the stock has not maintained its gains due to bearish sentiment driven by Bitcoin's volatility [2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Robinhood has seen a 90% increase in shares over the past six months and a 270% rise in 2025, benefiting from diversification into event contracts and options trading, which has insulated it from Bitcoin's volatility [3] - In contrast, Coinbase's reliance on the crypto market has made it vulnerable to Bitcoin's price fluctuations, as indicated by its beta of 3.7, which amplifies market swings [5] Group 3: Analyst Sentiment - Wall Street analysts maintain an average price target of $382 for Coinbase, with 18 buy ratings compared to only 2 sell ratings, indicating that professional investors see potential value in the stock [4] - However, retail traders remain skeptical about Coinbase's ability to detach from the influence of the crypto market, especially with Bitcoin trading below $91,000 [4]